Imperial College London
Alternate

DrIainStaffell

Faculty of Natural Sciences, Centre for Environmental Policy

Senior Lecturer in Sustainable Energy
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 9570i.staffell

 
 
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Location

 

202Weeks BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Staffell:2023:10.1038/s41560-023-01341-5,
author = {Staffell, I and Pfenninger, S and Johnson, N},
doi = {10.1038/s41560-023-01341-5},
journal = {Nature Energy},
pages = {1328--1344},
title = {A global model of hourly space heating and cooling demand at multiple spatial scales},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01341-5},
volume = {8},
year = {2023}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Accurate modelling of the weather’s temporal and spatial impacts on building energy demand is critical to decarbonizing energy systems. Here we introduce a customizable model for hourly heating and cooling demand applicable globally at all spatial scales. We validate against demand from ~5,000 buildings and 43 regions across four continents. The model requires limited data inputs and shows better agreement with measured demand than existing models. We use it first to demonstrate that a 1 °C reduction in thermostat settings across all buildings could reduce Europe’s gas consumption by 240 TWh yr−1, approximately one-sixth of historical imports from Russia. Second, we show that service demand for cooling is increasing by up to 5% per year in some regions due to climate change, and 5 billion people experience >100 additional cooling degree days per year when compared with a generation ago. The model and underlying data are freely accessible to promote further research.
AU  - Staffell,I
AU  - Pfenninger,S
AU  - Johnson,N
DO  - 10.1038/s41560-023-01341-5
EP  - 1344
PY  - 2023///
SN  - 2058-7546
SP  - 1328
TI  - A global model of hourly space heating and cooling demand at multiple spatial scales
T2  - Nature Energy
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01341-5
UR  - https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:001068067400003&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=a2bf6146997ec60c407a63945d4e92bb
UR  - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-023-01341-5
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/109788
VL  - 8
ER  -
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