Search or filter publications

Filter by type:

Filter by publication type

Filter by year:

to

Results

  • Showing results for:
  • Reset all filters

Search results

  • Journal article
    De Nardi A, Marini G, Dorigatti I, Rosà R, Tamba M, Gelmini L, Prosperi A, Menegale F, Poletti P, Calzolari M, Pugliese Aet al., 2025,

    Quantifying West Nile virus circulation in the avian host population in Northern Italy.

    , Infect Dis Model, Vol: 10, Pages: 375-386

    West Nile virus (WNV) is one of the most threatening mosquito-borne pathogens in Italy where hundreds of human cases were recorded during the last decade. Here, we estimated the WNV incidence in the avian population in the Emilia-Romagna region through a modelling framework which enabled us to eventually assess the fraction of birds that present anti-WNV antibodies at the end of each epidemiological season. We fitted an SIR model to ornithological data, consisting of 18,989 specimens belonging to Corvidae species collected between 2013 and 2022: every year from May to November birds are captured or shot and tested for WNV genome presence. We found that the incidence peaks between mid-July and late August, infected corvids seem on average 17% more likely to be captured with respect to susceptible ones and seroprevalence was estimated to be larger than other years at the end of 2018, consistent with the anomalous number of recorded human infections. Thanks to our modelling study we quantified WNV infection dynamics in the corvid community, which is still poorly investigated despite its importance for the virus circulation. To the best of our knowledge, this is among the first studies providing quantitative information on infection and immunity in the bird population, yielding new important insights on WNV transmission dynamics.

  • Journal article
    Kraemer M, Semenova E, Watson O, Cathal M, Ferguson N, Ratmann O, Bhatt Set al., 2025,

    Artificial Intelligence for Modelling Infectious Disease Epidemics

    , Nature
  • Journal article
    Warder SC, Piggott MD, 2025,

    The future of offshore wind power production: Wake and climate impacts

    , APPLIED ENERGY, Vol: 380, ISSN: 0306-2619
  • Journal article
    do Prado AH, Mair D, Garefalakis P, Silveira BC, Whittaker AC, Schlunegger Fet al., 2025,

    The influence of grain size sorting on the roughness parametrization of gravel riverbeds

    , Geomorphology, Vol: 471, ISSN: 0169-555X

    Grain size and surface roughness play crucial roles in modelling flow resistance and boundary shear stress in fluvial systems. However, the impact of grain size sorting on surface roughness, particularly for gravel-bed rivers composed of poorly-sorted sediments, has yet to be elucidated. Here we utilize a stochastic model to simulate generic riverbed surfaces, investigating the influence of sediment sorting on roughness. Through comparison with field-acquired data, we explore the relationships between grain size, sorting, presence of textural patches, and local roughness. Our analysis reveals significant spatial roughness variations on surfaces with poorer sorting conditions, driven by stochastic grain arrangements. Notably, surfaces with poorly sorted grains exhibit meter-scale patches, each with distinct roughness attributes. Consequently, upon characterizing the roughness of riverbeds made up of m-scale gravel bars, the sorting of the grains needs to be considered to account for the complexity of the relationships between water flow and riverbed.

  • Journal article
    Marie Brunnich Sloth M, Hruza J, Mortensen LH, Bhatt S, Katsiferis Aet al., 2025,

    Cause-specific mortality after spousal bereavement in a Danish register-based cohort

    , Scientific Reports, ISSN: 2045-2322
  • Journal article
    Mackay JD, Barrand NE, Hannah DM, Potter E, Montoya N, Buytaert Wet al., 2025,

    Physically based modelling of glacier evolution under climate change in the tropical Andes

    , The Cryosphere, Vol: 19, Pages: 685-712

    <jats:p>Abstract. In recent years, opportunities have opened up to develop and validate glacier models in regions that have previously been infeasible due to observation and/or computational constraints thanks to the availability of globally capable glacier evolution modelling codes and spatially extensive geodetic validation data. The glaciers in the tropical Andes represent some of the least observed and modelled glaciers in the world, making their trajectories under climate change uncertain. Studies to date have typically adopted empirical models of the surface energy balance and ice flow to simulate glacier evolution under climate change, but these may miss important non-linearities in future glacier mass changes. We combine two globally capable modelling codes that provide a more physical representation of these processes:(i) the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), which solves the full energy balance of snow and ice, and (ii) the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM), which solves a flowline representation of the shallow-ice equation to simulate ice flow. JULES–OGGM is applied to over 500 tropical glaciers in the Vilcanota-Urubamba basin in Peru, home to more than 800 000 people that predominantly live in rural communities with low socioeconomic development and high vulnerability to climate change. The model is evaluated against available glaciological and geodetic mass balance observations to assess the potential for using the modelling workflow to simulate tropical glacier evolution over decadal timescales. We show that the JULES–OGGM model can be parameterized to capture decadal (2000–2018) mass changes in individual glaciers, but we also show that limitations in the JULES prognostic snow model prevent accurate replication of observed surface albedo fluctuations and mass changes across all glaciers simultaneously. Specifically, the model cannot replicate the feedbacks between the driving meteorology, surface ener

  • Journal article
    Ren Y, Wang H, Harrison SP, Prentice IC, Mengoli G, Zhao L, Reich PB, Yang Ket al., 2025,

    Incorporating the acclimation of photosynthesis and leaf respiration in the Noah-MP land surface model: model development and evaluation

    , Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, ISSN: 1942-2466
  • Journal article
    Panditharatne S, Brindley H, Cox C, Siddans R, Murray J, Warwick L, Fox Set al., 2025,

    Retrievals of water vapour and temperature exploiting the far-infrared: application to aircraft observations in preparation for the FORUM mission

    , Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol: 18, Pages: 717-735

    <jats:p>Abstract. We present the extension of the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory (RAL) Infrared Microwave Sounding (IMS) optimal estimation retrieval scheme to include the use of far-infrared channels in preparation for the upcoming Far-infrared Outgoing Radiation Understanding and Monitoring (FORUM) mission. The IMS code has been previously applied to mid-infrared spectral radiances measured by the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Instrument (IASI) to retrieve temperature and water vapour. Given this, the evolution and evaluation of the extended scheme is performed in two steps. First, clear-sky retrievals of temperature and water vapour are performed on IASI and FORUM simulations. Comparable retrieval biases are observed for retrievals of temperature and water vapour; however, there is an increase of ∼ 1 degree of freedom for water vapour and temperature for the FORUM configuration. Secondly, radiances observed from an aircraft flight in the upper troposphere are modified to match the FORUM spectral characteristics. Retrievals from these radiances using the modified code show a strong agreement with contemporaneous in situ measurements of the atmospheric state, reducing the root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 18 % for water vapour from the a priori, giving confidence in its performance. The extended IMS scheme is now available for use on FORUM observations and can be easily adapted to other far- and mid-infrared instrument configurations. </jats:p>

  • Journal article
    Shoari N, Blangiardo M, Pirani M, 2025,

    Longitudinal Study of Neighbourhood Characteristics and Mental Health in Childhood and Adolescence in England

    , JAMA Network Open, ISSN: 2574-3805
  • Journal article
    Liu Y-H, Hesse M, Genestreti K, Nakamura R, Burch J, Cassak P, Bessho N, Eastwood J, Phan T, Swisdak M, Toledo-Redondo S, Hoshino M, Norgren C, Ji H, Nakamura Tet al., 2025,

    Ohm's Law, the Reconnection Rate, and Energy Conversion in Collisionless Magnetic Reconnection

    , Space Science Reviews

This data is extracted from the Web of Science and reproduced under a licence from Thomson Reuters. You may not copy or re-distribute this data in whole or in part without the written consent of the Science business of Thomson Reuters.

Request URL: http://www.imperial.ac.uk:80/respub/WEB-INF/jsp/search-t4-html.jsp Request URI: /respub/WEB-INF/jsp/search-t4-html.jsp Query String: id=1154&limit=10&resgrpMemberPubs=true&respub-action=search.html Current Millis: 1740309214017 Current Time: Sun Feb 23 11:13:34 GMT 2025

Join the network

Contact Hsuan-Yi to join the network.