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  • Journal article
    Pikoula M, Kallis C, Madjiheurem S, Quint JK, Bafadhel M, Denaxas Set al., 2023,

    Evaluation of data processing pipelines on real-world electronic health records data for the purpose of measuring patient similarity

    , PLOS ONE, Vol: 18, ISSN: 1932-6203
  • Journal article
    Massen GM, Allen RJ, Leavy OC, Selby NM, Aithal GP, Oliver N, Parfrey H, Wain LV, Jenkins G, Stewart I, Quint JK, DEMISTIFI consortiumet al., 2023,

    Classifying the unclassifiable – A Delphi study to reach consensus on the fibrotic nature of diseases

    , QJM: an international journal of medicine, Vol: 116, Pages: 429-435, ISSN: 1460-2393

    BackgroundTraditionally, clinical research has focused on individual fibrotic diseases or fibrosis in a particular organ. However, it is possible for people to have multiple fibrotic diseases. While multi-organ fibrosis may suggest shared pathogenic mechanisms, yet there is no consensus on what constitutes a fibrotic disease and therefore fibrotic multimorbidity.AimA Delphi study was performed to reach consensus on which diseases may be described as fibrotic.MethodsParticipants were asked to rate a list of diseases, sub-grouped according to eight body regions, as ‘fibrotic manifestation always present’, ‘can develop fibrotic manifestations’, ‘associated with fibrotic manifestations’ or ‘not fibrotic nor associated’. Classifications of ‘fibrotic manifestation always present’ and ‘can develop fibrotic manifestations’ were merged and termed ‘fibrotic’. Clinical consensus was defined according to the interquartile range, having met a minimum number of responses. Clinical agreement was used for classification where diseases did not meet the minimum number of responses (required for consensus measure), were only classified if there was 100% consensus on disease classification.ResultsAfter consulting experts, searching the literature and coding dictionaries, a total of 323 non-overlapping diseases which might be considered fibrotic were identified; 92 clinical specialists responded to the first round of the survey. Over three survey rounds, 240 diseases were categorized as fibrotic via clinical consensus and 25 additional diseases through clinical agreement.ConclusionUsing a robust methodology, an extensive list of diseases was classified. The findings lay the foundations for studies estimating the burden of fibrotic multimorbidity, as well as investigating shared mechanisms and therapies.

  • Journal article
    Warren-Gash C, Lacey A, Cook S, Stocker D, Toon S, Lelii F, Ford B, Ireland G, Ladhani SN, Stephenson T, Nguipdop-Djomo P, Mangtani P, COVID-19 Schools Infection Survey 2 Study Groupet al., 2023,

    Post-COVID-19 condition and persisting symptoms in English schoolchildren: repeated surveys to March 2022

    , BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol: 23, Pages: 1-7, ISSN: 1471-2334

    BACKGROUND: Both post-COVID-19 condition (long COVID) and the presence of persisting symptoms that do not meet formal definitions of post-COVID-19-condition may adversely affect quality of life and function. However, their prevalence among children and young people in England is unclear. METHODS: We used data from repeated surveys in a large cohort of English schoolchildren from the COVID-19 Schools Infection Survey (SIS) for the school year 2021/22 to describe the weighted prevalence of post-COVID-19-condition and compare persisting symptoms between individuals with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test and those with neither a positive test history nor suspected infection. RESULTS: Among 7797 children from 173 schools, 1.8% of primary school pupils (aged 4 to 11 years), 4.5% of secondary school pupils in years 7-11 (aged 11 to 16 years) and 6.9% of those in years 12-13 (aged 16 to 18 years) met a definition of post-COVID-19 condition in March 2022. Specific persisting symptoms such as anxiety or difficulty concentrating were frequently reported regardless of prior infection status and increased with age: 48.0% of primary school pupils, 52.9% of secondary school pupils in years 7-11 and 79.5% in years 12-13 reporting at least one symptom lasting more than 12 weeks. Persisting loss of smell and taste, cardiovascular and some systemic symptoms were more frequently reported by those with a previous positive test. CONCLUSIONS: We showed that ongoing symptoms were frequently reported by English schoolchildren regardless of SARS-CoV-2 test results and some specific symptoms such as loss of smell and taste were more prevalent in those with a positive test history. Our study emphasises the wide-ranging impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the health and wellbeing of children and young people.

  • Journal article
    Powell AA, Ireland G, Leeson R, Lacey A, Ford B, Poh J, Ijaz S, Shute J, Cherepanov P, Tedder R, Bottomley C, Dawe F, Mangtani P, Jones P, Nguipdop-Djomo P, Ladhani SN, Ahmad S, Baawuah F, Beckmann J, Brent A, Brent B, Garstang J, Okike IO, Brown K, Ramsay M, Bonell C, Cook S, Warren-Gash C, Phelan J, Hargreaves J, Langan S, Sundaram N, McClenaghan E, McKay G, Edmunds J, Fine Pet al., 2023,

    National and regional prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in primary and secondary school children in England: the School Infection Survey, a national open cohort study, November 2021SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence in school children

    , JOURNAL OF INFECTION, Vol: 86, Pages: 361-368, ISSN: 0163-4453
  • Journal article
    Sundaram N, Abramsky T, Oswald WE, Cook S, Halliday KE, Nguipdop-Djomo P, Sturgess J, Ireland G, Ladhani SN, Mangtani P, Langan SM, Hargreaves JR, Bonell C, COVID-19 Schools Infection Survey Study Groupet al., 2023,

    Implementation of COVID-19 preventive measures and staff well-being in a sample of English schools 2020-2021.

    , Journal of School Health, Vol: 93, Pages: 266-278, ISSN: 0022-4391

    BACKGROUND: We examined fidelity and feasibility of implementation of COVID-19 preventive measures in schools, and explored associations between adherence to these measures and staff well-being, to inform policy on sustainable implementation and staff wellbeing. METHODS: Surveys were conducted across 128 schools in England with 107 headteachers and 2698 staff-members with reference to autumn term 2020, examining school-level implementation of preventive measures, adherence, and teacher burnout (response rates for headteacher and staff surveys were 84% and 59%, respectively). RESULTS: The median number of measures implemented in primary and secondary schools was 33 (range 23-41), and 32 (range 22-40), respectively; most measures presented challenges. No differences were found regarding number of measures implemented by school-level socio-economic disadvantage. High adherence was reported for staff wearing face-coverings, staff regularly washing their hands, (secondary only) desks facing forwards, and (primary only) increased cleaning of surfaces and student hand-washing. Adherence to most measures was reported as higher in primary than secondary schools. Over half of school leaders and 42% (517/1234) of other teaching staff suffered from high emotional exhaustion. Higher teacher-reported school-wide adherence with measures was consistently associated with lower burnout for leaders and other teaching staff. CONCLUSIONS: Findings indicate a tremendous effort in implementing preventive measures and an urgent need to support investments in improving teacher wellbeing.

  • Journal article
    Stewart I, Molyneaux PL, Fabbri L, Quint JK, Walsh SLF, Weeks M, Jenkins RGet al., 2023,

    Residual lung abnormalities following COVID-19 hospitalization: interim analysis of the UKILD Post-COVID study

    , American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Vol: 207, Pages: 693-703, ISSN: 1073-449X

    Rationale: Shared symptoms and genetic architecture between coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and lung fibrosis suggest severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may lead to progressive lung damage.Objectives: The UK Interstitial Lung Disease Consortium (UKILD) post–COVID-19 study interim analysis was planned to estimate the prevalence of residual lung abnormalities in people hospitalized with COVID-19 on the basis of risk strata.Methods: The PHOSP–COVID-19 (Post-Hospitalization COVID-19) study was used to capture routine and research follow-up within 240 days from discharge. Thoracic computed tomography linked by PHOSP–COVID-19 identifiers was scored for the percentage of residual lung abnormalities (ground-glass opacities and reticulations). Risk factors in linked computed tomography were estimated with Bayesian binomial regression, and risk strata were generated. Numbers within strata were used to estimate posthospitalization prevalence using Bayesian binomial distributions. Sensitivity analysis was restricted to participants with protocol-driven research follow-up.Measurements and Main Results: The interim cohort comprised 3,700 people. Of 209 subjects with linked computed tomography (median, 119 d; interquartile range, 83–155), 166 people (79.4%) had more than 10% involvement of residual lung abnormalities. Risk factors included abnormal chest X-ray (risk ratio [RR], 1.21; 95% credible interval [CrI], 1.05–1.40), percent predicted DlCO less than 80% (RR, 1.25; 95% CrI, 1.00–1.56), and severe admission requiring ventilation support (RR, 1.27; 95% CrI, 1.07–1.55). In the remaining 3,491 people, moderate to very high risk of residual lung abnormalities was classified at 7.8%, and posthospitalization prevalence was estimated at 8.5% (95% CrI, 7.6–9.5), rising to 11.7% (95% CrI, 10.3–13.1) in the sensitivity analysis.Conclusions: Residual lung abnormalities were estimated in up to 11% of

  • Journal article
    Cook S, Schmedt N, Broughton J, Kalra PA, Tomlinson LA, Quint Jet al., 2023,

    Characterising the burden of chronic kidney disease among people with type 2 diabetes in England: a cohort study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink

    , BMJ Open, Vol: 13, Pages: 1-13, ISSN: 2044-6055

    Objectives To describe prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD), demographic and clinical characteristics, treatment patterns and rates of cardiovascular and renal complications for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) treated in routine clinical care.Design Repeat cross-sectional study (6 monthly cross-sections) and cohort study from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2019.Setting Primary care data from English practices contributing to the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and Office for National Statistics mortality data.Participants Patients with T2D aged >18 years, at least one year of registration data.Primary and secondary outcomes Primary outcome was prevalence of CKD defined as chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and/or urinary albumin creatinine ratio ≥3 mg/mmol in the past 24 months. Secondary outcomes were prescriptions of medications of interest and clinical and demographic characteristics in the past 3 months.In the cohort study rates of renal and cardiovascular complications, all-cause mortality and hospitalisations over the study period were compared among those with and without CKD.Results There were 574 190 eligible patients with T2D as of 1 January 2017 and 664 296 as of 31 December 2019. Estimated prevalence of CKD across the study period was stable at approximately 30%. Medication use was stable over time in people with CKD and T2D, with low use of steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (approximately 4.5% across all time points) and a low use but steady increase in use of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (from 2.6% to 6.2%). Rates of all complications were higher in those with CKD at the start of the study period, with increasing rates, with increased severity of CKD, heart failure and albuminuria.Conclusions The burden of CKD in patients with T2D is high and asso

  • Journal article
    Morgan A, Maslova E, Kallis C, Sinha I, Roberts G, Tran TN, van der Valk RJP, Quint JKet al., 2023,

    Short-acting β<sub>2</sub>-agonists and exacerbations in children with asthma in England: SABINA Junior

    , ERJ OPEN RESEARCH, Vol: 9
  • Journal article
    Nguipdop-Djomo P, Oswald WE, Halliday KE, Cook S, Sturgess J, Sundaram N, Warren-Gash C, Fine PEM, Glynn J, Allen E, Clark TG, Ford B, Judd A, Ireland G, Poh J, Bonell C, Dawe F, Rourke E, Diamond I, Ladhani SN, Langan SM, Hargreaves J, Mangtani Pet al., 2023,

    Risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection in primary and secondary school students and staff in England in the 2020/2021 school year: a longitudinal study

    , INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, Vol: 128, Pages: 230-243, ISSN: 1201-9712
  • Journal article
    Calvo RA, Peters D, Moradbakhti L, Cook D, Rizos G, Schuller B, Kallis C, Wong E, Quint Jet al., 2023,

    Assessing the feasibility of a text-based conversational agent for asthma support: protocol for a mixed methods observational study

    , JMIR Research Protocols, Vol: 12, Pages: 9-9, ISSN: 1929-0748

    BACKGROUND: Despite efforts, the UK death rate from asthma is the highest in Europe, and 65% of people with asthma in the United Kingdom do not receive the professional care they are entitled to. Experts have recommended the use of digital innovations to help address the issues of poor outcomes and lack of care access. An automated SMS text messaging-based conversational agent (ie, chatbot) created to provide access to asthma support in a familiar format via a mobile phone has the potential to help people with asthma across demographics and at scale. Such a chatbot could help improve the accuracy of self-assessed risk, improve asthma self-management, increase access to professional care, and ultimately reduce asthma attacks and emergencies. OBJECTIVE: The aims of this study are to determine the feasibility and usability of a text-based conversational agent that processes a patient's text responses and short sample voice recordings to calculate an estimate of their risk for an asthma exacerbation and then offers follow-up information for lowering risk and improving asthma control; assess the levels of engagement for different groups of users, particularly those who do not access professional services and those with poor asthma control; and assess the extent to which users of the chatbot perceive it as helpful for improving their understanding and self-management of their condition. METHODS: We will recruit 300 adults through four channels for broad reach: Facebook, YouGov, Asthma + Lung UK social media, and the website Healthily (a health self-management app). Participants will be screened, and those who meet inclusion criteria (adults diagnosed with asthma and who use WhatsApp) will be provided with a link to access the conversational agent through WhatsApp on their mobile phones. Participants will be sent scheduled and randomly timed messages to invite them to engage in dialogue about their asthma risk during the period of study. After a data collection period (28

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